Kagoshima United 1-0 MIO Biwako Shiga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 22%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
+77% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-0
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
167 Passes 290
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs MIO Biwako Shiga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United squeezed past MIO Biwako Shiga 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 40% of the ball to MIO Biwako Shiga's 60%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Kagoshima United 1-0 MIO Biwako Shiga in the JAP2-3 on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 56%, draw 19%, MIO Biwako Shiga 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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