Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 19%
-75% / -75% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-43% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 16.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
14.06.2015 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
441 Passes 132
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis squeezed past Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 71% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 29%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki in the JAP2-3 on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 62%, draw 17%, Kamatamare Sanuki 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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