V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Mar 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.77
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.69
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.85
6+
4%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka The Market 30%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.59 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.07.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JPK
27.09.2020 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
04.07.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.09.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
29.11.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
26.07.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.78 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
386 Passes 233
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in V-Varen Nagasaki's favour, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for V-Varen Nagasaki against 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka Result & Final Score

V-Varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 45%, draw 29%, Avispa Fukuoka 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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