Bayelsa United 2-1 Warri Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Mar 2026

Bayelsa United
2-1 HT 1-0
Warri Wolves
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2025/2026

Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Warri Wolves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Warri Wolves EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.54/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.55
+1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Warri Wolves
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Warri Wolves Warri Wolves 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United nicked a narrow win over Warri Wolves 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

Bayelsa United 2-1 Warri Wolves in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 60%, draw 25%, Warri Wolves 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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