Bornova 1877 1-3 Afyonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bornova 1877 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bornova 1877
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Afyonspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.11.2025 Afyonspor Afyonspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Bornova 1877 Bornova 1877 S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bornova 1877
1-3
AWAY Afyonspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor beat Bornova 1877 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bornova 1877 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bornova 1877 had 56% of the ball to Afyonspor's 44%, shots finished 15-21.

What was the final score of Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor?

Bornova 1877 1-3 Afyonspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bornova 1877 vs Afyonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bornova 1877 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bornova 1877 58%, draw 20%, Afyonspor 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bornova 1877) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bornova 1877) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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