İnegölspor 1-2 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.40
+68% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
1-2
AWAY Erbaaspor
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor squeezed past İnegölspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İnegölspor at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İnegölspor had 62% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 38%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs Erbaaspor?

İnegölspor 1-2 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegölspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 58%, draw 24%, Erbaaspor 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İnegölspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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