Bohemians 1-0 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
10%
4.28
X/2
9%
7.24
X/X
11%
4.12
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.84
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.07/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.95
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.8 Crosses 23.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
248 Passes 230
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
19.05.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-2 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
24.02.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
28.10.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.08.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Dundalk
0.72 xG 0.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 8
186 Passes 250
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians nicked a narrow win over Dundalk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bohemians had 44% of the ball to Dundalk's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bohemians and 1.67 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Dundalk?

Bohemians 1-0 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 47%, draw 25%, Dundalk 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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