Alcorcon vs Villarreal II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Villarreal II — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Villarreal II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Alcorcon
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Alcorcon
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal II
İS2
1-4
HT 1-4
Alcorcon
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
Villarreal II
İS2
Alcorcon 1-0 Villarreal II — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon edged past Villarreal II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Alcorcon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alcorcon had 42% of the ball to Villarreal II's 58%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.49 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Alcorcon and 1.20 for Villarreal II.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Villarreal II?
Alcorcon 1-0 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Villarreal II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 38%, draw 34%, Villarreal II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.