Roma (K) 2-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.96/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.96
+150% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -69%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
11.0 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
265 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
1.88 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
345 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) edged past Juventus (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Roma (K) had 57% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.88 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Roma (K) 2-1 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 47%, draw 22%, Juventus (K) 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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