Fram Reykjavik 0-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
42%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+17.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
42%
Away Win
66%
-23.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 70%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.02/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.20
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
189 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 73%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.7
18.8 Crosses 25.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.25 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.02.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
07.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
05.03.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
0-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.67 xG 0.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
223 Passes 453
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 38% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 62%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.67 to 0.23 — on chances, Fram Reykjavik could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 3.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur R.?

Fram Reykjavik 0-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 33%, draw 25%, Vikingur R. 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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