Audax Italiano 2-2 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.15/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.36
-13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.2 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union La Calera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.03.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.10.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
10.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
12.09.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-3 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
18.04.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
2-2
AWAY Union La Calera
2.54 xG 2.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
314 Passes 242
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano and Union La Calera couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 54% of the ball to Union La Calera's 46%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.54 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.33 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?

Audax Italiano 2-2 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 38%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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