Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Apr 2024

Hoffenheim (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Köln (K)
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.89/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.44
-47% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +106%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.1 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5

Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-1
AWAY Köln (K)
1.05 xG 1.03
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 177
79% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) and Köln (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Hoffenheim (K) carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 64% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 36%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.05 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 60%, draw 20%, Köln (K) 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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