Paderborn 07 II 4-1 Wegberg-Beeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 19%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.01
-30% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
412 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 3-2 HT 2-1 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn 07 II
4-1
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Wegberg-Beeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II ran out comfortable winners over Wegberg-Beeck 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paderborn 07 II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Paderborn 07 II had 71% of the ball to Wegberg-Beeck's 29%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Paderborn 07 II 4-1 Wegberg-Beeck in the Germany - Regional League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 57%, draw 20%, Wegberg-Beeck 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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