Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.76
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
16%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.18/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.09
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.1 Crosses 23.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Wahda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.46 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 362
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
05.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
26.11.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
11.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
10.09.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
17.05.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
1-0
AWAY Al Wahda
0.56 xG 0.84
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
180 Passes 515
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba edged past Al Wahda 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wahda at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 30% of the ball to Al Wahda's 70%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.56 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 2.17 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda?

Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 23%, draw 25%, Al Wahda 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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