Vancouver FC 4-1 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.80/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-65% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
11.8 Crosses 23.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Valour
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.79 xG 1.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
233 Passes 407
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
25.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
4-1
AWAY Valour
1.95 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
436 Passes 250
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC cruised past Valour 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vancouver FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 61% of the ball to Valour's 39%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Vancouver FC and 0.25 for Valour.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Vancouver FC 4-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valour win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 31%, draw 33%, Valour 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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