Libertad 0-3 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Apr 2024

Libertad
0-3 HT 0-3
Barcelona SC
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Libertad vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Libertad v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -23%
1.04/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.6 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Libertad vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.48 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
266 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
14.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
10.04.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
04.03.2015 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad LKU
18.09.2014 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC CSA
12.09.2014 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad CSA

Libertad 0-3 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-3
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.53 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC ran out comfortable winners over Libertad 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barcelona SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Libertad had 53% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 47%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Barcelona SC?

Libertad 0-3 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Libertad 34%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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