PSS Sleman 4-1 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.11/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.14
-21% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Arema Malang
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 239
30.09.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
26.01.2023 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
05.08.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
13.01.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
19.09.2021 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
24.09.2019 Arema Malang Arema Malang 4-0 HT 2-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSS Sleman swept aside Arema Malang 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day PSS Sleman made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arema Malang led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PSS Sleman and 1.50 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang?

PSS Sleman 4-1 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSS Sleman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 40%, draw 34%, Arema Malang 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSS Sleman), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSS Sleman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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