ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 15 Apr 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
2-1 HT 1-0
Mumbai City
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
32%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.21/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.40
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.6 Crosses 20.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.08 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
263 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.01.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
06.11.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-2 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
03.02.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
01.12.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-5 HT 0-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
13.03.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-1
AWAY Mumbai City
0.53 xG 0.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
268 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan squeezed past Mumbai City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day ATK Mohun Bagan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 45% of the ball to Mumbai City's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.53 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 2.17 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 41%, draw 22%, Mumbai City 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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