Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 Apr 2024

Naft Gachsaran
0-1 HT 0-1
Shahre Raz
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
13%
6.49
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.1pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Gachsaran v Shahre Raz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.03/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
-25% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shahre Raz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shahre Raz edged past Naft Gachsaran 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Gachsaran at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz?

Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 54%, draw 23%, Shahre Raz 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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