Rezekne / BJSS 2-2 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
56%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
0W-1D-0L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.08.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-1 HT 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rezekne / BJSS and JFK Ventspils shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JFK Ventspils at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?

Rezekne / BJSS 2-2 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 19%, draw 26%, JFK Ventspils 56%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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