Budapest Vasas 2-1 Kozarmisleny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.14/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.29
+20% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kozarmisleny
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 4-3 HT 1-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
2-1
AWAY Kozarmisleny
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas squeezed past Kozarmisleny 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 45% of the ball to Kozarmisleny's 55%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny?

Budapest Vasas 2-1 Kozarmisleny in the Hungary - NB II on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 57%, draw 21%, Kozarmisleny 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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