Valerenga II 0-2 Stjordals-Blink — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.85
2-3 Goals
35%
2.29
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
14%
4.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Valerenga II win — 44%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.6pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjordals-Blink EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.57/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.67
+24% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga II
0-2
AWAY Stjordals-Blink
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valerenga II vs Stjordals-Blink
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjordals-Blink saw off Valerenga II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga II had 48% of the ball to Stjordals-Blink's 52%, shots finished 2-19.

What was the final score of Valerenga II vs Stjordals-Blink?

Valerenga II 0-2 Stjordals-Blink in the Norway - 2nd Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga II vs Stjordals-Blink?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valerenga II 44%, draw 22%, Stjordals-Blink 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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