Piast Gliwice 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.54
X/2
10%
6.76
X/X
16%
3.62
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
12%
5.52
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.73
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.7 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.07.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
05.03.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.09.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
24.04.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 HT 2-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.49 xG 0.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 425
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice got the better of Zaglebie Lubin 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Piast Gliwice as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 43% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 57%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.49 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Piast Gliwice 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 41%, draw 32%, Zaglebie Lubin 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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