Rapid Bucarest 0-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -29%
2.04/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.47
+25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Bucarest
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sepsi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 480
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
14.07.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
12.05.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
10.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
20.01.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 3-0 HT 3-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
27.08.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Bucarest
0-1
AWAY Sepsi
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Bucarest vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi edged past Rapid Bucarest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Bucarest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rapid Bucarest had 43% of the ball to Sepsi's 57%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rapid Bucarest and 0.50 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Rapid Bucarest vs Sepsi?

Rapid Bucarest 0-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Bucarest vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rapid Bucarest 44%, draw 25%, Sepsi 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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