Alanyaspor 0-4 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Apr 2024

Alanyaspor
0-4 HT 0-0
Galatasaray
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.05
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.1
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
9%
11.6
X/2
20%
4.05
X/X
11%
7.14
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.86
2/X
6%
15.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.1 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
55%
Away Win
62%
-7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.11
+60% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
12.4 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 1.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
361 Passes 388
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.04.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK
23.10.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
19.09.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Alanyaspor 0-4 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
0-4
AWAY Galatasaray
0.73 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Alanyaspor 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 45% of the ball to Galatasaray's 55%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 0.73 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.17 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Alanyaspor 0-4 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 23%, draw 23%, Galatasaray 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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