Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1-1 HT 0-1
Livyi Bereh
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
0.99/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.40
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
02.04.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-3 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
11.09.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 3-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
28.08.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-2 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
POST-MATCH Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Livyi Bereh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 2.25 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livyi Bereh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 34%, draw 25%, Livyi Bereh 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Livyi Bereh), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livyi Bereh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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