CA Penarol 2-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.48/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.09
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 2-1 HT 2-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
08.07.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
15.04.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
29.08.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
05.03.2022 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
31.01.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Danubio
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Danubio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 60% of the ball to Danubio's 40%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Danubio.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Danubio?

CA Penarol 2-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 46%, draw 24%, Danubio 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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