AAli FC 3-0 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.78
Over 2.5
32%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.4pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
52%
+15.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
48%
-15.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
0.48/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.09
-60% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AAli FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.01.2024 AAli FC AAli FC 2-4 HT 1-0 Manama Manama BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAli FC
3-0
AWAY Manama
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC cruised past Manama 3-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) promised a tight game; AAli FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AAli FC had 48% of the ball to Manama's 52%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Manama?

AAli FC 3-0 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 32%, draw 36%, Manama 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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