GrIFK 1-2 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.7pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.2pp
63%
Away Win
76%
-12.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GrIFK EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 80%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.57/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.93/0.03
+91% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH GrIFK vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn nicked a narrow win over GrIFK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IFK Mariehamn as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of GrIFK vs IFK Mariehamn?

GrIFK 1-2 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GrIFK vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split GrIFK 18%, draw 20%, IFK Mariehamn 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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