Cardiff City U21 1-0 Barnsley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.9pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.99/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.48
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Barnsley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 squeezed past Barnsley U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Cardiff City U21 made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-0 Barnsley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 38%, draw 24%, Barnsley U21 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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