Al Adalah 2-1 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.15
Over
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No Pick
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
1.87/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.41
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2024 Al-Ain Al-Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
26.12.2023 Al Adalah Al Adalah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
21.02.2022 Al Adalah Al Adalah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
13.10.2021 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
2-1
AWAY Al-Ain
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah squeezed past Al-Ain 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Adalah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Adalah had 54% of the ball to Al-Ain's 46%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al-Ain led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Adalah and 1.00 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al-Ain?

Al Adalah 2-1 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 46%, draw 27%, Al-Ain 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Adalah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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