Hamilton 2-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
13%
6.84
X/X
17%
3.87
2/1
4%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.4
2/X
4%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hamilton win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+78% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 2.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 160
68% Pass Accuracy 56%
22 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
21.02.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
18.02.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
18.10.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
29.04.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-0 HT 4-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
25.02.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton squeezed past Inverness CT 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Hamilton made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Inverness CT?

Hamilton 2-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 40%, draw 30%, Inverness CT 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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