Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 May 2024

Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Chelsea (K)
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+10.0pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.3pp
63%
Away Win
73%
-10.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tottenham Hotspur (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -46%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.7
– Crosses 27.1
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.32 xG 1.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
240 Passes 432
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.09.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.68 xG 2.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
318 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 50
6 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) nicked a narrow win over Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 43% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 57%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.68 to 2.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 21%, draw 16%, Chelsea (K) 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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