Almirante Brown 3-3 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.38
Over 2.5
41%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
7.0
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+8.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-3D-1L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
27.05.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
24.09.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
04.09.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
27.04.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-2 HT 0-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and San Martin Tucuman shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Almirante Brown and 0.80 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs San Martin Tucuman?

Almirante Brown 3-3 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - Cup on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 33%, draw 30%, San Martin Tucuman 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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