Gwangju 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 May 2024

Gwangju
2-1 HT 0-0
Ulsan Hyundai
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.62
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.5
X/2
15%
5.77
X/X
16%
4.45
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.88
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Ulsan Hyundai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.30
+3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.5 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 2.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
269 Passes 459
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
03.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
30.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.09.2021 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.05.2021 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Gwangju 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
416 Passes 450
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Ulsan Hyundai 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gwangju had 56% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 44%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gwangju and 1.00 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 38%, draw 27%, Ulsan Hyundai 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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