Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
-7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.7 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.15 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
313 Passes 218
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
31 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
02.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.05.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
01.10.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
17.08.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
15.03.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-4 HT 0-3 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Gimpo Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 59% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.83 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 39%, draw 32%, Gimpo Citizen 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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