Saipa 2-1 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
No
70%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.04/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.61
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shahre Raz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.11.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Shahre Raz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Shahre Raz?

Saipa 2-1 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Saipa 41%, draw 34%, Shahre Raz 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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