Shabana 1-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
1.96
No
68%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
31%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
47%
-15.3pp
68%
BTTS No
53%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shabana vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana and Talanta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Talanta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Shabana vs Talanta?

Shabana 1-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabana vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shabana 30%, draw 28%, Talanta 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talanta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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