Pharco 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 22%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
7.0 Crosses 14.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3.02 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
220 Passes 242
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-2 HT 3-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1.06 xG 0.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 3
274 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco squeezed past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pharco as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pharco had 43% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 57%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.06 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Pharco 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pharco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pharco 46%, draw 29%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pharco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pharco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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