Boston Bolts 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston Bolts EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 58%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/0.51
+23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston Bolts
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston Bolts Boston Bolts USL2
17.05.2023 Boston Bolts Boston Bolts 0-3 HT 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston Bolts
0-1
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston Bolts vs Western Mass Pioneers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Mass Pioneers edged past Boston Bolts 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Western Mass Pioneers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston Bolts had 44% of the ball to Western Mass Pioneers's 56%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boston Bolts and 2.00 for Western Mass Pioneers.

What was the final score of Boston Bolts vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Boston Bolts 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers in the USA - USL League 2 on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston Bolts vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Mass Pioneers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Boston Bolts 25%, draw 24%, Western Mass Pioneers 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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