Northcote City 1-1 Bulleen Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.6
No
60%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
58%
-18.0pp
60%
BTTS No
42%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulleen Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
2.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+71% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bulleen Lions
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.07.2025 Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions 2-1 HT 0-1 Northcote City Northcote City NPL2
04.04.2025 Northcote City Northcote City 4-1 Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions NPL2
17.08.2024 Northcote City Northcote City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions NPL2
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City and Bulleen Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Northcote City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Northcote City and 1.00 for Bulleen Lions.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions?

Northcote City 1-1 Bulleen Lions in the AVPL1 on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 48%, draw 28%, Bulleen Lions 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Northcote City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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