FC Minsk 5-1 Belshina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 23% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Belshina EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.99/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.70
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Belshina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2024 Belshina Belshina 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLRK
12.11.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-1 HT 1-1 Belshina Belshina BLR
25.06.2023 Belshina Belshina 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
23.10.2022 Belshina Belshina 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
26.06.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-4 HT 1-1 Belshina Belshina BLR
05.07.2020 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Belshina Belshina BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
5-1
AWAY Belshina
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Belshina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk cruised past Belshina 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Minsk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Minsk had 44% of the ball to Belshina's 56%, shots finished 15-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Minsk and 2.17 for Belshina.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Belshina?

FC Minsk 5-1 Belshina in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Belshina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 51%, draw 27%, Belshina 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Minsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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