Chabab Mohammedia 0-3 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 32%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+99% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
0-3
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Ben Guerir cruised past Chabab Mohammedia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Mohammedia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 57% of the ball to Chabab Ben Guerir's 43%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Chabab Mohammedia 0-3 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Mohammedia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 41%, draw 27%, Chabab Ben Guerir 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FASK More Morocco - Cup
15 May 2026
18:00 Moghreb Tetouan vs Fath Casablanca Analysis →
21:00 Kawkab Marrakech vs JS Soualem Analysis →