FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -11%
0.97/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.35
+42% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
10.6 Crosses 20.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cajamarca
3-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.45 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
257 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cajamarca got the better of Sporting Cristal 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Cajamarca had 44% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 56%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.97.

What was the final score of FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?

FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Cajamarca 32%, draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 44%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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