Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pogon Siedlce v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Pogon Siedlce 1-3 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics
Stal Mielec took care of Pogon Siedlce 3-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stal Mielec as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 50% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 50%, shots finished 9-19.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 0.50 for Stal Mielec.
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Result & Final Score
Pogon Siedlce 1 - 3 Stal Mielec in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 26%, draw 29%, Stal Mielec 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.