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Atletico Madrid (K) vs Villarreal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid (K) v Villarreal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Villarreal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Villarreal (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 73% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 27%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.77 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Madrid (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Villarreal (K)?
Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Villarreal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.