Raja Beni Mellal 3-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.81
+97% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
19.03.2023 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-3 HT 0-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal beat Chabab Atlas Khenifra 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raja Beni Mellal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chabab Atlas Khenifra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Raja Beni Mellal and 1.50 for Chabab Atlas Khenifra.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Raja Beni Mellal 3-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 45%, draw 31%, Chabab Atlas Khenifra 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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