Osaka 2-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.04/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.73
-27% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
2-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka nicked a narrow win over Gainare Tottori 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osaka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osaka had 45% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 55%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Gainare Tottori?

Osaka 2-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Osaka 45%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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