Valour 2-3 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

Valour
2-3 HT 1-2
Pacific FC
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Valour vs Pacific FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valour v Pacific FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.94/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.01
-30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +102%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.5 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Valour vs Pacific FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pacific FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
02.09.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
29.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-3 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
22.06.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
21.05.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
28.08.2022 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL

Valour 2-3 Pacific FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
2-3
AWAY Pacific FC
1.19 xG 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
363 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valour vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC squeezed past Valour 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pacific FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valour had 49% of the ball to Pacific FC's 51%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.19 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valour and 1.50 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Valour vs Pacific FC?

Valour 2-3 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valour 35%, draw 28%, Pacific FC 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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