Bidco United 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 37%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.37/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.65
-49% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.12.2023 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
03.04.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
16.03.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bidco United
0-1
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks nicked a narrow win over Bidco United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Kariobangi Sharks made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bidco United had 37% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 63%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bidco United and 1.00 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Bidco United 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 38%, draw 34%, Kariobangi Sharks 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bidco United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bidco United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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